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Odds are 2-1 of temporary breach to Paris treaty's lower limit in 5 years

The annual average near-surface global temperature between 2023 and 2027 will likely be more than 1.5° Celsius above pre-industrial levels for at least one year.

Global mean temperatures are predicted to continue increasing
Global mean temperatures are predicted to continue increasing. (AN/NOAA/Unsplash)

GENEVA (AN) — In just three years, the odds of temporarily breaching the 2015 Paris Agreement's "safe" temperature guardrail rose from 20% to 66%.

In 2020, the U.N. weather agency released climate predictions showing there was about a 20% chance that one of the next five years would show Earth has warmed by at least 1.5° Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

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