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Warming must peak near 1.8° to keep Paris climate goal within reach

Breaching 1.5° is now expected, leaving governments with a narrower and more difficult task of limiting the overshoot.

The U.N. Environment Program says global warming is expected to exceed 1.5° Celsius within the next few years.
The U.N. Environment Program says global warming is expected to exceed 1.5° Celsius within the next few years. (NOAA/Unsplash)

Keeping peak global warming to around 1.8° Celsius may be necessary if the world is to retain a realistic prospect of returning to the Paris Agreement's 1.5° C. limit this century, according to a major new assessment that sharply narrows the remaining room for delay.

The U.N. Environment Program report concludes that exceeding 1.5° is now expected, likely within the next few years. But how far temperatures rise beyond that threshold could determine whether bringing them back down remains achievable.

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